Greetings, OnPolitics readers! President Joe Biden is gearing up for a challenging reelection battle in 2024, and recent findings from a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll indicate a notable decline in support from critical segments of the Democratic base.
As per the report by Susan Page, Savannah Kuchar, and Sudiksha Kochi, Biden’s backing among Black voters has seen a significant drop, standing at just 63% presently. This marks a substantial fall from the robust 87% support he garnered in the 2020 election.
In a surprising turn of events, the poll reveals that former President Donald Trump is leading among Hispanic voters. Biden trails behind by 5 percentage points, with a 39%-34% split. This stands in stark contrast to the 2020 election when Biden dominated the Hispanic demographic, securing a 2-to-1 advantage over Trump with a 65%-32% margin.
Another area of concern for Biden emerges with the younger voter demographic. Among voters under 35, a group that traditionally leans away from the GOP on issues such as abortion access and climate change, Trump is now ahead with a 37%-33% lead. This shift is notable as younger voters overwhelmingly supported Biden in the 2020 election.
The implications of these findings for the upcoming 2024 election are significant and present a challenging landscape for Biden. According to the USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll, Biden is trailing Trump by a narrow margin of 39%-37%. Moreover, 17% of respondents express support for an unnamed third-party candidate.
The decline in support among Black voters is a notable setback for Biden, as securing a strong base is crucial for any presidential candidate. The report indicates that the current 63% support is a notable departure from the 87% backing Biden received in the 2020 election. Understanding the factors contributing to this decline will be essential for Biden’s campaign strategists.
The shift among Hispanic voters is equally noteworthy. While Biden dominated this demographic in 2020, the recent poll suggests a reversal, with Trump now leading by 5 percentage points. This shift may be attributed to changes in political sentiments or perceptions among Hispanic communities, and it raises questions about the messaging and outreach strategies employed by the Biden administration.
The challenges among younger voters could pose a significant hurdle for Biden, especially considering the ideological alignment of this demographic with the Democratic Party. Losing ground among voters under 35, with Trump now leading 37%-33%, highlights the need for Biden to reengage with issues that resonate with this age group.
Looking ahead to 2024, the USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll paints a competitive picture. With Biden trailing Trump by a slim margin of 39%-37%, and 17% expressing support for a third-party candidate, the political landscape appears dynamic and fluid. Biden’s campaign will need to address the identified areas of concern and develop strategies to regain support among key demographics.
In conclusion, the latest poll indicates challenges for President Joe Biden in retaining support among critical segments of the Democratic base. Understanding the nuances behind these shifts and formulating effective strategies will be crucial as the 2024 election approaches.